FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Antonee Robinson

Antonee

Robinson

LBUnited States · Fulham FC

№ 349701Elite €21M +0.05

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

AntoneeRobinson

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Fulham FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
United States
Age
28
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Robinson at €22M. Model A, which never saw Robinson during training, estimates €21M: the market value is 5% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.05A €21M▲ +1.19B €6.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
64
Minutes
5,144
Goals
1
Assists
11
Started
57/64
Min / app
80
Cards
13Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Robinson…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €22M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €22MModel A €21M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Antonee Robinson's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 38th, Assists per 90 94th, Minutes, two years 85th, Starts 67th, Minutes, last 365 days 54th, European club minutes 30th38thGoals94thAssists85thMinutes67thStarts54thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.19 this player0.04 defender median94th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2017
Peak
€35M
Mar 2025
Model target
€22M
Jun 2026
Valuations
23
2 club changes
Jun 2026€22MFulham FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €22M, Fulham FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-09-18€100kBolton Wanderers
2018-02-27€500kBolton Wanderers
2018-09-24€1MWigan Athletic
2019-10-17€2.5MWigan Athletic
2020-02-27€4.5MWigan Athletic
2020-04-08€3.5MWigan Athletic
2020-10-13€3.5MFulham FC
2020-12-17€5MFulham FC
2021-03-18€7MFulham FC
2021-06-08€7MFulham FC
2021-11-24€9MFulham FC
2022-05-13€8MFulham FC
2022-11-03€10MFulham FC
2023-03-16€12MFulham FC
2023-06-20€15MFulham FC
2023-12-19€20MFulham FC
2024-05-27€25MFulham FC
2024-12-16€28MFulham FC
2025-03-18€35MFulham FC
2025-05-30€35MFulham FC
2025-12-09€30MFulham FC
2026-03-09€25MFulham FC
2026-06-03€22MFulham FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.049

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 59% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€22MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 92% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€22MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Robinson appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).