Juan
Cruz
LWSpain · CD Leganés
Player dossierLaLiga
JuanCruz
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- CD Leganés
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 30 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Cruz at €3M. Model A, which never saw Cruz during training, estimates €4.2M: the market value is 28% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 41
- Minutes
- 2,669
- Goals
- 8
- Assists
- 5
- Started
- 30/41
- Min / app
- 65
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cruz…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
73% this player59% attacker median73rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Oct 2018
- Peak
- €5M
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €3M
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 17
- 3 club changes
Dec 2025: €3M, CD Leganés. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-10-31 | €100k | Atlético Malagueño |
| 2019-02-19 | €100k | Atlético Malagueño |
| 2019-06-29 | €100k | Atlético Malagueño |
| 2020-11-23 | €100k | Atlético Malagueño |
| 2021-01-08 | €100k | Atlético Malagueño |
| 2021-10-13 | €200k | Betis Deportivo Balompié |
| 2021-12-30 | €200k | Betis Deportivo Balompié |
| 2022-06-29 | €200k | Betis Deportivo Balompié |
| 2022-12-29 | €2M | Betis Deportivo Balompié |
| 2023-06-30 | €1.5M | Betis Deportivo Balompié |
| 2023-12-22 | €1M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2024-06-24 | €1.5M | CD Leganés |
| 2024-10-11 | €3M | CD Leganés |
| 2024-12-27 | €4M | CD Leganés |
| 2025-06-09 | €5M | CD Leganés |
| 2025-10-16 | €4M | CD Leganés |
| 2025-12-30 | €3M | CD Leganés |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.333
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 52% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Cruz appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AlabaCBReal Madrid · LaLiga€3M
- StegenGKGirona FC · LaLiga€3M
- VlachodimosGKSevilla FC · LaLiga€3M
- DarderCMRCD Mallorca · LaLiga€3M
- WelbeckCFBrighton & Hove Albion · attackers€3M
- SterlingRWFeyenoord Rotterdam · attackers€3M
- BrumaLWSL Benfica · attackers€3M
- SilvaCFElche CF · attackers€3M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).