FairValue

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Khusniddin

Alikulov

CBUzbekistan · Caykur Rizespor

№ 581429Emerging €1.3M −0.08

Player dossierSüper Lig

KhusniddinAlikulov

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Caykur Rizespor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Uzbekistan
Age
27
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Alikulov at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Alikulov during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 8% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.08A €1.3M▼ −0.49B €2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
41
Minutes
3,156
Goals
3
Assists
1
Started
36/41
Min / app
77
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Alikulov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Khusniddin Alikulov's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 82nd, Assists per 90 43rd, Minutes, two years 56th, Starts 63rd, Minutes, last 365 days 10th, European club minutes 30th82ndGoals43rdAssists56thMinutes63rdStarts10thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.09 this player0.03 defender median82nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Apr 2019
Peak
€1.7M
Dec 2024
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
21
1 club change
May 2026€1.2MCaykur RizesporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Caykur Rizespor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-04-14€25kNasaf Qarshi
2019-06-28€75kNasaf Qarshi
2019-12-29€150kNasaf Qarshi
2020-02-11€200kNasaf Qarshi
2020-09-01€250kNasaf Qarshi
2020-12-28€400kNasaf Qarshi
2021-07-15€500kNasaf Qarshi
2021-12-10€650kNasaf Qarshi
2022-06-21€700kNasaf Qarshi
2022-11-23€850kNasaf Qarshi
2023-06-02€1MNasaf Qarshi
2023-09-27€1.2MCaykur Rizespor
2023-12-21€1.2MCaykur Rizespor
2024-03-15€1.2MCaykur Rizespor
2024-05-31€1.2MCaykur Rizespor
2024-10-04€1.5MCaykur Rizespor
2024-12-23€1.7MCaykur Rizespor
2025-03-20€1.7MCaykur Rizespor
2025-06-18€1.7MCaykur Rizespor
2025-12-17€1.5MCaykur Rizespor
2026-05-21€1.2MCaykur Rizespor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.081

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 45% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Alikulov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).