FairValue

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Răzvan

Sava

GKRomania · Udinese Calcio

№ 568617Established €5.1M −0.71

Player dossierSerie A

RăzvanSava

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Udinese Calcio
League
Serie A
Nationality
Romania
Age
23
Height
197 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sava at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Sava during training, estimates €5.1M: the market value is 51% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.71A €5.1M▲ +0.02B €2.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
27
Minutes
2,419
Started
26/27
Min / app
90
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sava…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €5.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Răzvan Sava's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 45th, Starts 15th, Minutes, last 365 days 33rd, European club minutes 79th45thMinutes15thStarts33rdRecent79thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

15% this player0% goalkeeper median79th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jun 2020
Peak
€2.5M
Mar 2025
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
17
4 club changes
May 2026€2.5MUdinese CalcioValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Udinese Calcio. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-06-25€25kLecce Primavera
2021-06-30€100kTorino Primavera
2021-12-28€100kTorino FC
2022-06-03€50kCFR Cluj
2022-09-30€100kCFR Cluj
2022-12-21€100kCFR Cluj
2023-03-15€200kCFR Cluj
2023-06-15€200kCFR Cluj
2023-09-28€450kCFR Cluj
2023-12-22€1MCFR Cluj
2024-03-22€1.4MCFR Cluj
2024-06-05€2MCFR Cluj
2024-12-18€2MUdinese Calcio
2025-03-25€2.5MUdinese Calcio
2025-06-17€2.5MUdinese Calcio
2025-12-23€2.5MUdinese Calcio
2026-05-29€2.5MUdinese Calcio

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.714

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 24% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 64% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sava appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).