AiméOmgba

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club: KAA Gent
League: Pro League
Nationality: Netherlands
Age: 23
Height: 190 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Omgba at €1M. Model A, which never saw Omgba during training, estimates €497k: the market value is 101% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €698k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 22
Minutes: 467
Goals: 1
Assists: 0
Started: 2/22
Min / app: 21
Cards: 0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Omgba…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.19 this player0.08 midfielder median81st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €150k; Apr 2023
Peak: €2M; Jun 2025
Model target: €1M; Jun 2026
Valuations: 9; 1 club change

Jun 2026€1MKAA GentValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1M, KAA Gent. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2023-04-03	€150k	NAC Breda
2023-07-04	€300k	NAC Breda
2024-01-08	€800k	NAC Breda
2024-06-10	€1.5M	NAC Breda
2024-12-11	€1.5M	KAA Gent
2025-06-12	€2M	KAA Gent
2025-10-01	€1.4M	KAA Gent
2025-12-10	€1M	KAA Gent
2026-06-04	€1M	KAA Gent

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.699

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 27% of the 350 Pro League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 32% of the 1,687 midfielders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Omgba appears

TerminalPro League in the Player Explorer
TerminalPro League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).