Mohamed
Abdelmonem
CBEgypt · OGC Nice
Player dossierLigue 1
MohamedAbdelmonem
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- OGC Nice
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Egypt
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Abdelmonem at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Abdelmonem during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 128% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.28. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €912k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 16
- Minutes
- 1,215
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 14/16
- Min / app
- 76
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Abdelmonem…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
30% this player0% defender median95th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Jun 2019
- Peak
- €4M
- Oct 2024
- Model target
- €2.5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 6 club changes
Jun 2026: €2.5M, OGC Nice. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-06-02 | €25k | Unknown |
| 2020-02-02 | €25k | Smouha SC |
| 2020-11-12 | €100k | Al Ahly FC U21 |
| 2021-05-13 | €200k | Smouha SC |
| 2021-12-10 | €400k | Future FC |
| 2022-02-14 | €1.2M | Al Ahly FC |
| 2022-09-15 | €1.2M | Al Ahly FC |
| 2023-02-24 | €2M | Al Ahly FC |
| 2023-06-29 | €3M | Al Ahly FC |
| 2024-01-11 | €3M | Al Ahly FC |
| 2024-04-24 | €3M | Al Ahly FC |
| 2024-10-03 | €4M | OGC Nice |
| 2024-12-10 | €4M | OGC Nice |
| 2025-06-03 | €4M | OGC Nice |
| 2025-10-10 | €3M | OGC Nice |
| 2025-12-15 | €3M | OGC Nice |
| 2026-06-01 | €2.5M | OGC Nice |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.825
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 24% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 54% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Abdelmonem appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AubameyangCFOlympique Marseille · Ligue 1€2.5M
- GraditCBRC Lens · Ligue 1€2.5M
- MvogoGKFC Lorient · Ligue 1€2.5M
- TouréDMLe Havre AC · Ligue 1€2.5M
- MainkaCB1.FC Heidenheim 1846 · defenders€2.5M
- CoufalRBTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · defenders€2.5M
- StarkCBSV Werder Bremen · defenders€2.5M
- MataCBOlympique Lyon · defenders€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).