FairValue

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Ugochukwu

Iwu

DMArmenia · Rubin Kazan

№ 565852Established €2M +0.38

Player dossierPremier Liga

UgochukwuIwu

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Rubin Kazan
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Armenia
Age
26
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Iwu at €3M. Model A, which never saw Iwu during training, estimates €2M: the market value is 46% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.46. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.38A €2M▼ −0.03B €3.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
52
Minutes
3,803
Goals
1
Assists
3
Started
41/52
Min / app
73
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Iwu…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Ugochukwu Iwu's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 22nd, Assists per 90 39th, Minutes, two years 71st, Starts 68th, Minutes, last 365 days 46th, European club minutes 30th22ndGoals39thAssists71stMinutes68thStarts46thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,803 this player2,607 midfielder median71st percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Mar 2018
Peak
€3M
Sept 2025
Model target
€3M
May 2026
Valuations
21
3 club changes
May 2026€3MRubin KazanValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3M, Rubin Kazan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-03-19€25kFC Lori Vanadzor
2018-09-04€175kFC Lori Vanadzor
2018-12-12€200kFC Lori Vanadzor
2019-06-07€250kFC Lori Vanadzor
2019-12-09€250kFC Pyunik Yerevan
2020-08-31€250kFC Urartu Yerevan
2020-12-17€300kFC Urartu Yerevan
2021-05-30€300kFC Urartu Yerevan
2021-10-06€300kFC Urartu Yerevan
2021-12-17€350kFC Urartu Yerevan
2022-06-14€350kFC Urartu Yerevan
2022-12-30€350kFC Urartu Yerevan
2023-06-23€450kFC Urartu Yerevan
2023-10-05€700kRubin Kazan
2023-12-13€1MRubin Kazan
2024-06-04€1.5MRubin Kazan
2024-12-12€2MRubin Kazan
2025-06-04€2.5MRubin Kazan
2025-09-18€3MRubin Kazan
2025-12-16€3MRubin Kazan
2026-05-26€3MRubin Kazan

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.381

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 77% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 56% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Iwu appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).