FairValue

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Mika

Biereth

CFDenmark · AS Monaco

№ 565821Elite €19.9M −0.28

Player dossierLigue 1

MikaBiereth

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
AS Monaco
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Denmark
Age
23
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Biereth at €15M. Model A, which never saw Biereth during training, estimates €19.9M: the market value is 24% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €17M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.28A €19.9M▼ −0.13B €17M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
64
Minutes
2,982
Goals
17
Assists
4
Started
36/64
Min / app
47
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Biereth…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €15M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €15MModel A €19.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Mika Biereth's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 89th, Assists per 90 40th, Minutes, two years 66th, Starts 46th, Minutes, last 365 days 46th, European club minutes 87th89thGoals40thAssists66thMinutes46thStarts46thRecent87thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.51 this player0.26 attacker median89th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€600k
Jun 2022
Peak
€30M
Jun 2025
Model target
€15M
Jun 2026
Valuations
13
4 club changes
Jun 2026€15MAS MonacoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €15M, AS Monaco. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-06-15€600kArsenal FC U23
2022-11-11€600kRKC Waalwijk
2023-06-23€500kRKC Waalwijk
2023-09-22€550kMotherwell FC
2023-12-05€650kMotherwell FC
2024-03-11€3MSK Sturm Graz
2024-05-21€7MSK Sturm Graz
2024-12-17€13MSK Sturm Graz
2025-03-24€25MAS Monaco
2025-06-03€30MAS Monaco
2025-12-15€22MAS Monaco
2026-03-27€18MAS Monaco
2026-06-01€15MAS Monaco

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.281

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 76% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€15MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 81% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€15MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Biereth appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).