Hicham
Boudaoui
Player dossierLigue 1
HichamBoudaoui
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- OGC Nice
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Algeria
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 175 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Boudaoui at €12M. Model A, which never saw Boudaoui during training, estimates €5.4M: the market value is 120% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.20. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 63
- Minutes
- 4,659
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 51/63
- Min / app
- 74
- Cards
- 14Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Boudaoui…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Minutes, two years
Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.
4,659 this player2,607 midfielder median83rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Feb 2018
- Peak
- €15M
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €12M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 25
- 1 club change
Jun 2026: €12M, OGC Nice. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-02-08 | €50k | Paradou AC |
| 2018-05-29 | €100k | Paradou AC |
| 2018-12-06 | €300k | Paradou AC |
| 2019-06-09 | €800k | Paradou AC |
| 2019-08-27 | €1.4M | Paradou AC |
| 2019-12-19 | €2M | OGC Nice |
| 2020-03-13 | €4M | OGC Nice |
| 2020-04-08 | €3.6M | OGC Nice |
| 2020-10-15 | €3.6M | OGC Nice |
| 2021-01-07 | €4M | OGC Nice |
| 2021-04-09 | €5M | OGC Nice |
| 2021-06-04 | €5M | OGC Nice |
| 2021-12-16 | €5M | OGC Nice |
| 2022-05-30 | €6.5M | OGC Nice |
| 2022-09-19 | €6M | OGC Nice |
| 2022-11-02 | €5M | OGC Nice |
| 2023-03-27 | €7M | OGC Nice |
| 2023-06-27 | €8M | OGC Nice |
| 2023-12-18 | €9M | OGC Nice |
| 2024-06-03 | €9M | OGC Nice |
| 2024-10-07 | €10M | OGC Nice |
| 2024-12-10 | €10M | OGC Nice |
| 2025-06-03 | €15M | OGC Nice |
| 2025-12-15 | €12M | OGC Nice |
| 2026-06-01 | €12M | OGC Nice |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.790
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 72% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 81% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Boudaoui appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KehrerCBAS Monaco · Ligue 1€12M
- SzymanskiAMStade Rennais FC · Ligue 1€12M
- CamaraCMStade Rennais FC · Ligue 1€12M
- ÉdouardCFRC Lens · Ligue 1€12M
- GoretzkaCMBayern Munich · midfielders€12M
- OdgaardAMBologna FC 1909 · midfielders€12M
- KoopmeinersDMAZ Alkmaar · midfielders€12M
- GruevDMLeeds United · midfielders€12M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).




