FairValue

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Portrait of Jack Clarke

Jack

Clarke

LWEngland · Ipswich Town

№ 559794Elite €6.5M +0.83

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

JackClarke

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Ipswich Town
League
Premier League
Nationality
England
Age
25
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Clarke at €15M. Model A, which never saw Clarke during training, estimates €6.5M: the market value is 130% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.83A €6.5M▲ +2.18B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
1,481
Goals
3
Assists
6
Started
15/36
Min / app
41
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Clarke…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €15M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €15MModel A €6.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Jack Clarke's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 31st, Assists per 90 96th, Minutes, two years 31st, Starts 23rd, Minutes, last 365 days 34th, European club minutes 28th31stGoals96thAssists31stMinutes23rdStarts34thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.36 this player0.15 attacker median96th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1M
Feb 2019
Peak
€15M
Oct 2023
Model target
€15M
Dec 2025
Valuations
18
6 club changes
Dec 2025€15MIpswich TownValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €15M, Ipswich Town. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-02-27€1MLeeds United
2019-06-28€6MLeeds United
2020-02-27€6MQueens Park Rangers
2020-04-08€5.4MQueens Park Rangers
2020-10-13€5.4MTottenham Hotspur
2021-03-10€5MStoke City
2021-06-08€5MTottenham Hotspur
2021-12-23€5MTottenham Hotspur
2022-06-15€3.5MTottenham Hotspur
2022-10-27€4MSunderland AFC
2023-03-24€8MSunderland AFC
2023-06-01€12MSunderland AFC
2023-10-27€15MSunderland AFC
2023-12-21€15MSunderland AFC
2024-05-24€15MSunderland AFC
2024-12-16€15MIpswich Town
2025-05-30€15MIpswich Town
2025-12-03€15MIpswich Town

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.831

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 43% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€15MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 81% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€15MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Clarke appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).