FairValue

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Tymur

Stetskov

CBUkraine · Karpaty Lviv

№ 549960Emerging €588k −0.67

Player dossierPremier Liha

TymurStetskov

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Karpaty Lviv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
28
Height
184 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Stetskov at €300k. Model A, which never saw Stetskov during training, estimates €588k: the market value is 49% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.96. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.67A €588k▼ −2.22B €2.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
18
Minutes
1,431
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
17/18
Min / app
80
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Stetskov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €588k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Tymur Stetskov's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 71st, Assists per 90 84th, Minutes, two years 21st, Starts 83rd, Minutes, last 365 days 4th, European club minutes 89th71stGoals84thAssists21stMinutes83rdStarts4thRecent89thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

23% this player0% defender median89th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2018
Peak
€1M
Jun 2024
Model target
€300k
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
2 club changes
Jun 2026€300kKarpaty LvivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €300k, Karpaty Lviv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-01-12€50kFC Oleksandriya
2018-05-14€100kFC Oleksandriya
2018-08-06€100kFC Oleksandriya
2018-12-10€200kFC Oleksandriya
2019-06-20€300kFC Oleksandriya
2020-01-08€300kFC Oleksandriya
2020-09-04€400kFC Oleksandriya
2021-01-14€400kFC Oleksandriya
2021-06-07€400kFC Oleksandriya
2021-12-20€300kFC Oleksandriya
2022-05-18€300kFC Oleksandriya
2022-12-06€300kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2023-06-21€500kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2023-12-11€700kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2024-03-18€800kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2024-06-06€1MKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2024-12-17€800kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2025-06-10€600kKarpaty Lviv
2025-12-18€400kKarpaty Lviv
2026-06-02€300kKarpaty Lviv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.672

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 27% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 9% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Stetskov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).