Gustavo
Furtado
LWBrazil · FC Sochi
Player dossierPremier Liga
GustavoFurtado
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- FC Sochi
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Premier LigaReading the valuation
The market values Furtado at €600k. Model A, which never saw Furtado during training, estimates €879k: the market value is 32% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 39
- Minutes
- 2,473
- Goals
- 7
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 26/39
- Min / app
- 63
- Cards
- 14Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Furtado…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
67% this player59% attacker median63rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Nov 2021
- Peak
- €700k
- Sept 2025
- Model target
- €600k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 14
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €600k, FC Sochi. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-05 | €150k | CD Trofense |
| 2022-04-01 | €150k | CD Trofense |
| 2022-06-27 | €250k | CD Trofense |
| 2023-02-27 | €250k | Panathinaikos B |
| 2023-06-19 | €250k | Panathinaikos B |
| 2023-12-28 | €250k | Panathinaikos B |
| 2024-05-23 | €250k | Panathinaikos B |
| 2024-09-26 | €300k | PAS Lamia 1964 |
| 2024-12-18 | €350k | PAS Lamia 1964 |
| 2025-03-14 | €450k | PAS Lamia 1964 |
| 2025-05-23 | €500k | PAS Lamia 1964 |
| 2025-09-18 | €700k | FC Krasnodar |
| 2025-12-16 | €700k | FC Krasnodar |
| 2026-05-26 | €600k | FC Sochi |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.382
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 19% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Furtado appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LeshchukGKDynamo Moscow · Premier Liga€600k
- TimofeevDMLokomotiv Moscow · Premier Liga€600k
- VasyutinGKAkron Tolyatti · Premier Liga€600k
- SutorminRWKrylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga€600k
- PavolettiCFCagliari Calcio · attackers€600k
- GhezzalRWOlympique Lyon · attackers€600k
- ManéRWKayserispor · attackers€600k
- CerriCFComo 1907 · attackers€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).