Franjo
Ivanović
CFCroatia · SL Benfica
Player dossierLiga Portugal
FranjoIvanović
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- SL Benfica
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Croatia
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Ivanović at €15M. Model A, which never saw Ivanović during training, estimates €27.6M: the market value is 46% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.84. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €27.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 79
- Minutes
- 4,437
- Goals
- 24
- Assists
- 10
- Started
- 50/79
- Min / app
- 56
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ivanović…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €15M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
37% this player0% attacker median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €125k
- Jan 2021
- Peak
- €20M
- Sept 2025
- Model target
- €15M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €15M, SL Benfica. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-11 | €125k | FC Augsburg U19 |
| 2021-12-15 | €100k | FC Augsburg II |
| 2022-06-27 | €150k | FC Augsburg II |
| 2022-12-30 | €200k | FC Augsburg II |
| 2023-06-29 | €400k | FC Augsburg II |
| 2023-12-18 | €1.5M | HNK Rijeka |
| 2024-06-04 | €1.5M | HNK Rijeka |
| 2024-10-02 | €4M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2024-12-11 | €4M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2025-03-26 | €8M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2025-06-12 | €13M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2025-09-30 | €20M | SL Benfica |
| 2025-12-18 | €20M | SL Benfica |
| 2026-03-19 | €18M | SL Benfica |
| 2026-05-28 | €15M | SL Benfica |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.610
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 90% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 81% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ivanović appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AursnesCMSL Benfica · Liga Portugal€15M
- LukébakioRWSL Benfica · Liga Portugal€15M
- VíctorCFSC Braga · Liga Portugal€15M
- FresnedaRBSporting CP · Liga Portugal€15M
- EmboloCFStade Rennais FC · attackers€15M
- TsygankovRWGirona FC · attackers€15M
- PinamontiCFUS Sassuolo · attackers€15M
- TellaRWBayer 04 Leverkusen · attackers€15M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).