David
Toshevski
CFNorth Macedonia · FCV Dender EH
Player dossierPro League
DavidToshevski
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- FCV Dender EH
- League
- Pro League
- Nationality
- North Macedonia
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Pro LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Toshevski at €600k. Model A, which never saw Toshevski during training, estimates €776k: the market value is 23% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €888k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 25
- Minutes
- 1,491
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 19/25
- Min / app
- 60
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Toshevski…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
76% this player59% attacker median77th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Dec 2019
- Peak
- €800k
- Jul 2020
- Model target
- €600k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 16
- 9 club changes
Jun 2026: €600k, FCV Dender EH. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-12-12 | €200k | Rabotnicki Skopje |
| 2020-07-29 | €800k | FC Rostov |
| 2020-12-29 | €700k | FC Rostov |
| 2021-06-02 | €500k | PFK Tambov |
| 2021-12-31 | €400k | Górnik Zabrze |
| 2022-06-23 | €300k | Zemplin Michalovce |
| 2022-11-21 | €250k | FC Rostov |
| 2023-06-14 | €250k | FC Rostov |
| 2023-10-25 | €200k | Without Club |
| 2024-06-28 | €250k | HNK Sibenik |
| 2024-10-10 | €450k | SK Austria Klagenfurt |
| 2024-12-17 | €400k | SK Austria Klagenfurt |
| 2025-06-06 | €500k | SK Austria Klagenfurt |
| 2025-12-10 | €500k | FCV Dender EH |
| 2026-03-13 | €750k | FCV Dender EH |
| 2026-06-04 | €600k | FCV Dender EH |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.257
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Pro League350 players · median €1.8M
Valued above 13% of the 350 Pro League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Toshevski appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GallonGKFCV Dender EH · Pro League€600k
- BijlRBRoyal Antwerp FC · Pro League€600k
- RuyssenCBKV Kortrijk · Pro League€600k
- NyssenRBZulte Waregem · Pro League€600k
- PavolettiCFCagliari Calcio · attackers€600k
- GhezzalRWOlympique Lyon · attackers€600k
- ManéRWKayserispor · attackers€600k
- CerriCFComo 1907 · attackers€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).