Nikita
Kokarev
GKRussia · Krylya Sovetov Samara
Player dossierPremier Liga
NikitaKokarev
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Krylya Sovetov Samara
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Kokarev at €800k. Model A, which never saw Kokarev during training, estimates €828k: the market value is 3% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 35
- Minutes
- 3,141
- Started
- 35/35
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kokarev…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jun 2019
- Peak
- €1.5M
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €800k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €800k, Krylya Sovetov Samara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-06-14 | €50k | FC Krasnodar II |
| 2019-12-23 | €50k | FC Krasnodar II |
| 2020-06-29 | €50k | FC Krasnodar II |
| 2020-12-29 | €75k | FC Krasnodar II |
| 2021-06-02 | €150k | FC Krasnodar II |
| 2021-12-07 | €150k | FC Krasnodar 2 |
| 2022-05-30 | €225k | FC Krasnodar 2 |
| 2022-12-02 | €175k | Rotor Volgograd |
| 2023-06-19 | €125k | FC Krasnodar 2 |
| 2023-09-20 | €200k | Arsenal Tula |
| 2023-11-30 | €450k | Arsenal Tula |
| 2024-06-14 | €650k | Arsenal Tula |
| 2024-12-12 | €900k | FC Khimki |
| 2025-03-19 | €1.2M | FC Khimki |
| 2025-06-04 | €1.5M | FC Khimki |
| 2025-09-18 | €1.2M | Krylya Sovetov Samara |
| 2025-12-16 | €900k | Krylya Sovetov Samara |
| 2026-05-26 | €800k | Krylya Sovetov Samara |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.035
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 33% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 39% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Kokarev appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LunevGKDynamo Moscow · Premier Liga€800k
- GudievGKAkron Tolyatti · Premier Liga€800k
- SilvaCMAkhmat Grozny · Premier Liga€800k
- BozhinCBKrylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga€800k
- SzczesnyGKFC Barcelona · goalkeepers€800k
- NylandGKSevilla FC · goalkeepers€800k
- LecomteGKFulham FC · goalkeepers€800k
- BentleyGKWolverhampton Wanderers · goalkeepers€800k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).