FairValue

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Ibrahim

Karamoko

CBFrance · Standard Liège

№ 538072Established €2.2M +0.32

Player dossierPro League

IbrahimKaramoko

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Standard Liège
League
Pro League
Nationality
France
Age
24
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Karamoko at €3M. Model A, which never saw Karamoko during training, estimates €2.2M: the market value is 38% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.32A €2.2M▲ +0.32B €2.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
40
Minutes
2,622
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
30/40
Min / app
66
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Karamoko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €2.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Ibrahim Karamoko's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 45th, Starts 35th, Minutes, last 365 days 67th, European club minutes 30th52ndGoals17thAssists45thMinutes35thStarts67thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,177 this player1,687 defender median67th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2019
Peak
€3M
Jun 2026
Model target
€3M
Jun 2026
Valuations
15
4 club changes
Jun 2026€3MStandard LiègeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3M, Standard Liège. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-09-01€100kChievo Verona
2019-12-30€300kChievo Verona
2020-08-21€500kChievo Verona
2021-06-30€300kTorino Primavera
2021-10-13€225kRoyal Excelsior Virton
2022-01-13€150kRoyal Excelsior Virton
2022-04-19€150kRoyal Excelsior Virton
2023-12-08€100kFC Versailles 78
2024-06-14€250kFC Versailles 78
2024-12-02€250kFC Versailles 78
2025-03-26€450kStandard Liège
2025-06-12€800kStandard Liège
2025-12-10€1.5MStandard Liège
2026-03-13€2MStandard Liège
2026-06-04€3MStandard Liège

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.321

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 67% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Karamoko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).