Tobias
Bech
RWDenmark · Aarhus GF
Player dossierSuperliga
TobiasBech
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Aarhus GF
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Denmark
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 189 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Bech at €4.5M. Model A, which never saw Bech during training, estimates €5.1M: the market value is 12% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.14. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 53
- Minutes
- 4,183
- Goals
- 17
- Assists
- 5
- Started
- 50/53
- Min / app
- 79
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bech…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
94% this player59% attacker median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Dec 2018
- Peak
- €4.5M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €4.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 19
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €4.5M, Aarhus GF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-21 | €50k | Viborg FF |
| 2019-06-24 | €50k | Viborg FF |
| 2019-09-09 | €100k | Viborg FF |
| 2019-12-22 | €250k | Viborg FF |
| 2020-07-31 | €300k | Viborg FF |
| 2020-12-23 | €300k | Viborg FF |
| 2021-06-04 | €300k | Viborg FF |
| 2021-10-06 | €400k | Viborg FF |
| 2021-12-28 | €450k | Viborg FF |
| 2022-06-20 | €450k | Viborg FF |
| 2022-10-05 | €600k | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
| 2022-12-08 | €600k | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
| 2023-06-13 | €700k | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
| 2023-12-21 | €1.2M | Aarhus GF |
| 2024-06-10 | €1.5M | Aarhus GF |
| 2024-12-09 | €2.5M | Aarhus GF |
| 2025-06-16 | €2.5M | Aarhus GF |
| 2025-12-15 | €4M | Aarhus GF |
| 2026-05-25 | €4.5M | Aarhus GF |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.128
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 92% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 63% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bech appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TahirovićCMBröndby IF · Superliga€4.5M
- LähteenmäkiLBFC Nordsjaelland · Superliga€4.5M
- GodfreyCBBröndby IF · Superliga€5M
- KotarskiGKFC Copenhagen · Superliga€5M
- MuriqiCFRCD Mallorca · attackers€4.5M
- ŚwiderskiCFPanathinaikos · attackers€4.5M
- IdahCFSwansea City · attackers€4.5M
- KaabiCFOlympiacos Piraeus · attackers€4.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).