Fraser
Forster
GKEngland · AFC Bournemouth
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
FraserForster
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- AFC Bournemouth
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 38
- Height
- 201 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Forster at €400k. Model A, which never saw Forster during training, estimates €238k: the market value is 68% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.68. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €188k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 11
- Minutes
- 990
- Started
- 11/11
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Forster…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
36% this player0% goalkeeper median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €75k
- Jul 2007
- Peak
- €15M
- Jun 2016
- Model target
- €400k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 38
- 7 club changes
Jun 2026: €400k, AFC Bournemouth. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2007-07-29 | €75k | Newcastle United |
| 2008-01-29 | €400k | Newcastle United |
| 2009-06-25 | €400k | Newcastle United |
| 2010-07-19 | €500k | Newcastle United |
| 2010-10-22 | €1.5M | Celtic FC |
| 2011-02-04 | €2M | Celtic FC |
| 2012-07-24 | €2M | Celtic FC |
| 2012-09-17 | €2.8M | Celtic FC |
| 2013-02-13 | €4M | Celtic FC |
| 2013-10-08 | €4.5M | Celtic FC |
| 2014-08-12 | €10M | Southampton FC |
| 2015-02-12 | €12M | Southampton FC |
| 2015-07-01 | €12M | Southampton FC |
| 2016-02-09 | €12M | Southampton FC |
| 2016-06-01 | €15M | Southampton FC |
| 2016-08-01 | €15M | Southampton FC |
| 2017-02-20 | €15M | Southampton FC |
| 2017-06-28 | €15M | Southampton FC |
| 2018-01-02 | €15M | Southampton FC |
| 2018-05-28 | €15M | Southampton FC |
| 2018-10-17 | €12M | Southampton FC |
| 2018-12-19 | €10M | Southampton FC |
| 2019-06-13 | €8M | Southampton FC |
| 2020-02-05 | €8M | Celtic FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €6.5M | Celtic FC |
| 2020-10-13 | €4.5M | Southampton FC |
| 2021-03-18 | €4M | Southampton FC |
| 2021-06-08 | €3M | Southampton FC |
| 2021-12-23 | €2.5M | Southampton FC |
| 2022-06-15 | €2M | Southampton FC |
| 2022-11-03 | €1.5M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2023-06-20 | €1.5M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2023-12-19 | €1.2M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2024-05-27 | €1.2M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2024-12-16 | €1.2M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2025-05-30 | €1M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2025-10-21 | €600k | Without Club |
| 2026-06-03 | €400k | AFC Bournemouth |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.521
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 2% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 21% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Forster appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- YoungRBIpswich Town · Premier League€400k
- MurrayLMWigan Athletic · Premier League€400k
- BalcombeGKBrentford FC · Premier League€400k
- WalesCFSwansea City · Premier League€400k
- GuaitaGKParma Calcio 1913 · goalkeepers€400k
- ChoutesiotisGKAtromitos Athens · goalkeepers€400k
- CarlgrenGKFC Nantes · goalkeepers€400k
- AkkanGKGenclerbirligi Ankara · goalkeepers€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).