FairValue

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Saïd

Bakari

RBComoros · Sparta Rotterdam

№ 524687Emerging €361k −0.19

Player dossierEredivisie

SaïdBakari

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Sparta Rotterdam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Comoros
Age
31
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bakari at €300k. Model A, which never saw Bakari during training, estimates €361k: the market value is 17% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.20. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €529k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.19A €361k▼ −0.57B €529k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
42
Minutes
2,756
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
30/42
Min / app
66
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bakari…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €361k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Saïd Bakari's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 51st, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 48th, Starts 29th, Minutes, last 365 days 11th, European club minutes 30th51stGoals17thAssists48thMinutes29thStarts11thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.03 this player0.03 defender median51st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jul 2017
Peak
€800k
Dec 2023
Model target
€300k
May 2026
Valuations
24
1 club change
May 2026€300kSparta RotterdamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €300k, Sparta Rotterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-07-01€25kRKC Waalwijk
2018-03-01€100kRKC Waalwijk
2018-06-29€75kRKC Waalwijk
2019-01-21€75kRKC Waalwijk
2019-07-03€75kRKC Waalwijk
2019-12-18€250kRKC Waalwijk
2020-03-12€350kRKC Waalwijk
2020-04-08€300kRKC Waalwijk
2020-10-14€300kRKC Waalwijk
2021-01-06€350kRKC Waalwijk
2021-03-09€450kRKC Waalwijk
2021-05-19€500kRKC Waalwijk
2022-01-05€500kRKC Waalwijk
2022-06-08€550kRKC Waalwijk
2022-11-11€400kRKC Waalwijk
2023-06-23€450kRKC Waalwijk
2023-10-17€650kSparta Rotterdam
2023-12-15€800kSparta Rotterdam
2024-05-31€800kSparta Rotterdam
2024-12-17€650kSparta Rotterdam
2025-05-28€650kSparta Rotterdam
2025-10-02€500kSparta Rotterdam
2025-12-02€400kSparta Rotterdam
2026-05-28€300kSparta Rotterdam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.186

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 8% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 9% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bakari appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).