FairValue

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Portrait of Hidemasa Morita

Hidemasa

Morita

CMJapan · Sporting CP

№ 524315Established €7.3M +0.10

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLiga Portugal

HidemasaMorita

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Sporting CP
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Japan
Age
31
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Morita at €8M. Model A, which never saw Morita during training, estimates €7.3M: the market value is 10% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.10A €7.3M▲ +0.24B €6.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
78
Minutes
4,383
Goals
3
Assists
8
Started
49/78
Min / app
56
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Morita…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €7.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Hidemasa Morita's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 39th, Assists per 90 75th, Minutes, two years 80th, Starts 38th, Minutes, last 365 days 79th, European club minutes 83rd39thGoals75thAssists80thMinutes38thStarts79thRecent83rdEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

19% this player0% midfielder median83rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2018
Peak
€15M
Jun 2024
Model target
€8M
May 2026
Valuations
21
2 club changes
May 2026€8MSporting CPValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €8M, Sporting CP. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-01-05€50kKawasaki Frontale
2019-01-05€1MKawasaki Frontale
2019-06-27€1.2MKawasaki Frontale
2019-12-28€1.6MKawasaki Frontale
2020-04-08€1.3MKawasaki Frontale
2021-01-28€1.5MCD Santa Clara
2021-05-21€3MCD Santa Clara
2021-12-27€3MCD Santa Clara
2022-03-10€4MCD Santa Clara
2022-05-31€4MCD Santa Clara
2022-11-01€7MSporting CP
2023-03-02€10MSporting CP
2023-06-16€12MSporting CP
2023-12-27€12MSporting CP
2024-03-08€13MSporting CP
2024-06-06€15MSporting CP
2024-12-19€15MSporting CP
2025-05-30€13MSporting CP
2025-09-30€11MSporting CP
2025-12-18€9MSporting CP
2026-05-28€8MSporting CP

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.098

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 84% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 74% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Morita appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).