FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Danylo

Beskorovaynyi

CBUkraine · Polissya Zhytomyr

№ 523907Emerging €637k −0.06

Player dossierPremier Liha

DanyloBeskorovaynyi

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Polissya Zhytomyr
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
26
Height
194 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Beskorovaynyi at €600k. Model A, which never saw Beskorovaynyi during training, estimates €637k: the market value is 6% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.06A €637k▼ −1.07B €1.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
18
Minutes
909
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
11/18
Min / app
51
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Beskorovaynyi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €637k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Danylo Beskorovaynyi's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 87th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 10th, Starts 16th, Minutes, last 365 days 9th, European club minutes 86th87thGoals17thAssists10thMinutes16thStarts9thRecent86thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.10 this player0.03 defender median87th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jan 2018
Peak
€900k
Jun 2024
Model target
€600k
Dec 2025
Valuations
17
5 club changes
Dec 2025€600kPolissya ZhytomyrValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €600k, Polissya Zhytomyr. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-01-04€25kVolyn Lutsk
2018-12-30€175kZemplin Michalovce
2019-06-25€250kZemplin Michalovce
2019-12-15€400kDAC Dunajska Streda
2020-04-08€350kDAC Dunajska Streda
2020-07-10€400kDAC Dunajska Streda
2020-12-28€400kDAC Dunajska Streda
2021-06-26€400kDAC Dunajska Streda
2021-12-26€350kDAC Dunajska Streda
2022-06-10€350kFC Astana
2022-11-25€350kFC Astana
2023-06-21€500kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2023-12-11€800kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2024-06-06€900kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2024-12-17€800kPolissya Zhytomyr
2025-06-10€600kPolissya Zhytomyr
2025-12-18€600kPolissya Zhytomyr

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.060

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 61% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Beskorovaynyi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).