Nino
CBBrazil · Zenit St. Petersburg
Player dossierPremier Liga
Nino
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Zenit St. Petersburg
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Premier LigaReading the valuation
The market values Nino at €10M. Model A, which never saw Nino during training, estimates €9.1M: the market value is 10% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 68
- Minutes
- 5,794
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 67/68
- Min / app
- 85
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nino…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
99% this player83% defender median94th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Oct 2017
- Peak
- €11M
- Dec 2023
- Model target
- €10M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 24
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €10M, Zenit St. Petersburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-10-30 | €300k | Criciúma EC |
| 2017-12-07 | €300k | Criciúma EC |
| 2019-05-28 | €1M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2019-08-15 | €2.5M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2019-11-27 | €2.5M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2020-04-08 | €2M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2020-09-09 | €3M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2021-02-09 | €3M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2021-05-28 | €4M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2021-09-10 | €6M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2021-12-17 | €6.5M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2022-04-06 | €6.5M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2022-08-19 | €7M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2022-11-14 | €7M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2023-04-07 | €7M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2023-07-25 | €7M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2023-12-11 | €11M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2024-03-20 | €10M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2024-06-04 | €10M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2024-12-12 | €10M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2025-06-04 | €11M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2025-09-18 | €10M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2025-12-16 | €10M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2026-05-26 | €10M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.097
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 95% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 81% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Nino appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CórdobaCFFC Krasnodar · Premier Liga€10M
- OblyakovCMCSKA Moscow · Premier Liga€10M
- DiveevCBZenit St. Petersburg · Premier Liga€10M
- GlebovRWCSKA Moscow · Premier Liga€10M
- FriedlCBSV Werder Bremen · defenders€10M
- ŠkriniarCBFenerbahce · defenders€10M
- LienhartCBSC Freiburg · defenders€10M
- RrahmaniCBSSC Napoli · defenders€10M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).