FairValue

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Manu

Fuster

RWSpain · UD Las Palmas

№ 511021Emerging €1.5M −0.02

Player dossierLaLiga

ManuFuster

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
UD Las Palmas
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
28
Height
169 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
30 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Fuster at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Fuster during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 2% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.02A €1.5M▲ +0.30B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
31
Minutes
1,186
Goals
3
Assists
4
Started
10/31
Min / app
38
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Fuster…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Manu Fuster's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 43rd, Assists per 90 91st, Minutes, two years 24th, Starts 13th, Minutes, last 365 days 26th, European club minutes 28th43rdGoals91stAssists24thMinutes13thStarts26thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.30 this player0.15 attacker median91st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jan 2018
Peak
€2.4M
Jun 2024
Model target
€1.5M
Dec 2025
Valuations
21
2 club changes
Dec 2025€1.5MUD Las PalmasValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €1.5M, UD Las Palmas. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-01-01€150kCD Guijuelo
2018-05-30€250kCD Guijuelo
2019-02-19€250kCD Guijuelo
2019-06-29€250kCD Guijuelo
2019-09-10€300kAlbacete Balompié
2019-12-20€600kAlbacete Balompié
2020-04-08€475kAlbacete Balompié
2020-10-08€500kAlbacete Balompié
2021-01-08€500kAlbacete Balompié
2021-06-24€500kAlbacete Balompié
2021-12-30€700kAlbacete Balompié
2022-06-29€700kAlbacete Balompié
2022-12-29€800kAlbacete Balompié
2023-03-24€1MAlbacete Balompié
2023-06-14€1.5MAlbacete Balompié
2023-10-13€1.6MAlbacete Balompié
2023-12-20€2MAlbacete Balompié
2024-06-24€2.4MAlbacete Balompié
2024-12-27€1.5MUD Las Palmas
2025-06-09€1.5MUD Las Palmas
2025-12-30€1.5MUD Las Palmas

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.021

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 20% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 37% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Fuster appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).