FairValue

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Christopher

Scott

LMGermany · Royal Antwerp FC

№ 503162Established €2.6M −0.18

Player dossierPro League

ChristopherScott

LMLeft MidfieldMidfield

Club
Royal Antwerp FC
League
Pro League
Nationality
Germany
Age
23
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Scott at €2.2M. Model A, which never saw Scott during training, estimates €2.6M: the market value is 16% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.18A €2.6M▼ −0.18B €2.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
2,313
Goals
6
Assists
2
Started
26/39
Min / app
59
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Scott…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.2MModel A €2.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Christopher Scott's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 87th, Assists per 90 43rd, Minutes, two years 44th, Starts 45th, Minutes, last 365 days 71st, European club minutes 30th87thGoals43rdAssists44thMinutes45thStarts71stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.23 this player0.08 midfielder median87th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Jan 2021
Peak
€2.2M
Jun 2026
Model target
€2.2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
15
3 club changes
Jun 2026€2.2MRoyal Antwerp FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2.2M, Royal Antwerp FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-01-20€400kFC Bayern Munich II
2021-03-26€700kFC Bayern Munich II
2021-06-14€1.2MFC Bayern Munich II
2021-12-15€1.2MFC Bayern Munich II
2022-06-27€1.2MFC Bayern Munich II
2022-11-04€1.2MRoyal Antwerp FC
2023-06-09€1.5MRoyal Antwerp FC
2023-12-15€1.2MHannover 96
2024-03-22€800kHannover 96
2024-06-06€600kHannover 96
2024-12-11€600kRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-06-12€500kRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-12-10€600kRoyal Antwerp FC
2026-03-13€1MRoyal Antwerp FC
2026-06-04€2.2MRoyal Antwerp FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.177

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 59% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Scott appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).