FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Mauricio

Benítez

DMArgentina · Royal Antwerp FC

№ 1055055Established €1.4M +0.56

Player dossierPro League

MauricioBenítez

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Royal Antwerp FC
League
Pro League
Nationality
Argentina
Age
22
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Benítez at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Benítez during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 76% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.76. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.56A €1.4M▲ +0.67B €1.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
1,847
Goals
3
Assists
0
Started
22/33
Min / app
56
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Benítez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Mauricio Benítez's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 71st, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 33rd, Starts 45th, Minutes, last 365 days 48th, European club minutes 30th71stGoals8thAssists33rdMinutes45thStarts48thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.15 this player0.08 midfielder median71st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Oct 2022
Peak
€2.5M
Mar 2026
Model target
€2.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
9
2 club changes
Jun 2026€2.5MRoyal Antwerp FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2.5M, Royal Antwerp FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-10-26€25kUnknown
2024-03-11€500kCA Boca Juniors
2024-06-12€500kCA Boca Juniors
2024-12-13€400kCA Boca Juniors
2025-03-26€900kRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-06-12€800kRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-12-10€1.2MRoyal Antwerp FC
2026-03-13€2.5MRoyal Antwerp FC
2026-06-04€2.5MRoyal Antwerp FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.564

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 60% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Benítez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).