FairValue

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Khvicha

Kvaratskhelia

LWGeorgia · Paris Saint-Germain

№ 502670World Class €85.7M +0.49

Player dossierLigue 1

KhvichaKvaratskhelia

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Paris Saint-Germain
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Georgia
Age
25
Height
183 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kvaratskhelia at €140M. Model A, which never saw Kvaratskhelia during training, estimates €85.7M: the market value is 63% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.63. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €61.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.49A €85.7M▲ +0.82B €61.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
94
Minutes
6,135
Goals
31
Assists
20
Started
75/94
Min / app
65
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kvaratskhelia…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €140M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €140MModel A €85.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 83rd, Assists per 90 89th, Minutes, two years 97th, Starts 83rd, Minutes, last 365 days 97th, European club minutes 98th83rdGoals89thAssists97thMinutes83rdStarts97thRecent98thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

39% this player0% attacker median98th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€125k
Dec 2017
Peak
€140M
Jun 2026
Model target
€140M
Jun 2026
Valuations
27
6 club changes
Jun 2026€140MParis Saint-GermainValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €140M, Paris Saint-Germain. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-12-08€125kDinamo Tbilisi
2018-04-09€350kFC Rustavi
2018-08-29€400kFC Rustavi
2019-01-05€350kFC Rustavi
2019-04-24€500kLokomotiv Moscow
2019-06-14€900kLokomotiv Moscow
2019-09-10€1.5MRubin Kazan
2019-12-23€2.5MRubin Kazan
2020-04-08€2.3MRubin Kazan
2020-07-29€4.5MRubin Kazan
2020-10-19€7.5MRubin Kazan
2020-12-29€10MRubin Kazan
2021-04-13€15MRubin Kazan
2021-06-02€18MRubin Kazan
2021-12-29€16MRubin Kazan
2022-05-05€15MDinamo Batumi
2022-09-27€35MSSC Napoli
2022-11-11€60MSSC Napoli
2023-03-21€85MSSC Napoli
2023-06-15€85MSSC Napoli
2023-12-20€80MSSC Napoli
2024-06-05€80MSSC Napoli
2024-12-18€85MSSC Napoli
2025-03-24€80MParis Saint-Germain
2025-06-03€90MParis Saint-Germain
2025-12-15€90MParis Saint-Germain
2026-06-01€140MParis Saint-Germain

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.491

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

The joint highest observed value among 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€140MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Joint 5th highest observed value among 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€140MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kvaratskhelia appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).