FairValue

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Bryan

Limbombe

RWBelgium · Heracles Almelo

№ 502288Emerging €426k −0.06

Player dossierEredivisie

BryanLimbombe

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Heracles Almelo
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Belgium
Age
25
Height
172 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Limbombe at €400k. Model A, which never saw Limbombe during training, estimates €426k: the market value is 6% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.06A €426k▼ −1.52B €1.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
42
Minutes
1,870
Goals
1
Assists
5
Started
20/42
Min / app
45
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Limbombe…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €426k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Bryan Limbombe's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 8th, Assists per 90 81st, Minutes, two years 41st, Starts 31st, Minutes, last 365 days 55th, European club minutes 28th8thGoals81stAssists41stMinutes31stStarts55thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.24 this player0.15 attacker median81st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Jan 2020
Peak
€700k
Oct 2022
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
19
2 club changes
May 2026€400kHeracles AlmeloValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, Heracles Almelo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-01-20€250kKRC Genk
2020-03-30€400kKRC Genk
2020-04-08€350kKRC Genk
2021-06-07€350kKRC Genk
2021-10-12€350kRoda JC Kerkrade
2022-01-12€375kRoda JC Kerkrade
2022-03-24€475kRoda JC Kerkrade
2022-06-23€475kRoda JC Kerkrade
2022-10-12€700kRoda JC Kerkrade
2023-07-04€700kHeracles Almelo
2023-12-15€700kHeracles Almelo
2024-03-18€600kHeracles Almelo
2024-05-31€600kHeracles Almelo
2024-12-17€500kHeracles Almelo
2025-05-28€400kHeracles Almelo
2025-10-02€550kHeracles Almelo
2025-12-02€650kHeracles Almelo
2026-03-11€500kHeracles Almelo
2026-05-28€400kHeracles Almelo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.064

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 18% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 11% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Limbombe appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).