David
Carmo
CBAngola · Real Oviedo
Player dossierLaLiga
DavidCarmo
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Real Oviedo
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Angola
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 196 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values Carmo at €5M. Model A, which never saw Carmo during training, estimates €2.9M: the market value is 73% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.73. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 54
- Minutes
- 4,131
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 47/54
- Min / app
- 77
- Cards
- 13Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Carmo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
15% this player0% defender median78th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1.3M
- Feb 2019
- Peak
- €20M
- Sept 2022
- Model target
- €5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 21
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €5M, Real Oviedo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-02-12 | €1.3M | SC Braga B |
| 2019-06-29 | €750k | SC Braga B |
| 2020-02-11 | €1M | SC Braga |
| 2020-04-08 | €900k | SC Braga |
| 2020-08-17 | €6M | SC Braga |
| 2021-01-28 | €8.5M | SC Braga |
| 2021-05-21 | €10M | SC Braga |
| 2021-12-27 | €10M | SC Braga |
| 2022-05-31 | €15M | SC Braga |
| 2022-09-16 | €20M | FC Porto |
| 2022-11-01 | €20M | FC Porto |
| 2023-03-02 | €16M | FC Porto |
| 2023-06-16 | €14M | FC Porto |
| 2023-12-27 | €14M | FC Porto |
| 2024-03-06 | €12M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2024-05-30 | €12M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2024-12-18 | €12M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2025-05-23 | €10M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2025-12-12 | €10M | Real Oviedo |
| 2026-03-16 | €8M | Real Oviedo |
| 2026-06-05 | €5M | Real Oviedo |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.548
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 70% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Carmo appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KokeCMAtlético de Madrid · LaLiga€5M
- FebasCMElche CF · LaLiga€5M
- PérezCFVillarreal CF · LaLiga€5M
- BoyéCFDeportivo Alavés · LaLiga€5M
- OrbánCBRB Leipzig · defenders€5M
- GinterCBSC Freiburg · defenders€5M
- GuerreiroLBBayern Munich · defenders€5M
- TarkowskiCBEverton FC · defenders€5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).