FairValue

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Mickaël

Nadé

CBFrance · AS Saint-Étienne

№ 494586Established €3.5M −0.56

Player dossierLigue 1

MickaëlNadé

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
AS Saint-Étienne
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
France
Age
26
Height
193 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
11 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Nadé at €2M. Model A, which never saw Nadé during training, estimates €3.5M: the market value is 43% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.75. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.56A €3.5M▲ +0.31B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
26
Minutes
2,278
Goals
1
Assists
3
Started
25/26
Min / app
88
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nadé…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €3.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Mickaël Nadé's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 56th, Assists per 90 82nd, Minutes, two years 40th, Starts 87th, Minutes, last 365 days 50th, European club minutes 30th56thGoals82ndAssists40thMinutes87thStarts50thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

96% this player83% defender median87th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Nov 2020
Peak
€3M
Mar 2022
Model target
€2M
Dec 2025
Valuations
16
1 club change
Dec 2025€2MAS Saint-ÉtienneValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €2M, AS Saint-Étienne. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-11-11€300kQuevilly Rouen Métropole
2021-06-25€500kQuevilly Rouen Métropole
2021-10-08€1MAS Saint-Étienne
2021-12-16€1.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2022-03-23€3MAS Saint-Étienne
2022-05-30€2.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2022-10-28€2MAS Saint-Étienne
2023-04-06€1.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2023-06-16€1MAS Saint-Étienne
2023-10-27€800kAS Saint-Étienne
2023-12-13€600kAS Saint-Étienne
2024-03-26€800kAS Saint-Étienne
2024-06-11€1.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2024-12-10€1.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2025-06-03€2MAS Saint-Étienne
2025-12-11€2MAS Saint-Étienne

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.558

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 20% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Nadé appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).