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Danila

Prokhin

CBRussia · FC Rostov

№ 486083Emerging €1M −0.03

Player dossierPremier Liga

DanilaProkhin

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
FC Rostov
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
25
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Prokhin at €1M. Model A, which never saw Prokhin during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 3% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €912k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.03A €1M▲ +0.09B €912k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
49
Minutes
3,704
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
40/49
Min / app
76
Cards
14Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Prokhin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Danila Prokhin's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 65th, Starts 48th, Minutes, last 365 days 34th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists65thMinutes48thStarts34thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,704 this player2,860 defender median65th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jun 2017
Peak
€3.2M
Jun 2022
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
24
7 club changes
May 2026€1MFC RostovValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, FC Rostov. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-06-01€100kUnknown
2018-06-06€50kZenit St. Petersburg II
2018-12-20€75kZenit St. Petersburg II
2019-04-20€100kZenit St. Petersburg II
2019-06-14€150kZenit St. Petersburg II
2019-09-09€225kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2019-12-23€400kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2020-04-08€350kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2020-06-29€350kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2020-07-29€500kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2020-12-29€700kZenit St. Petersburg
2021-06-02€1.2MFC Sochi
2021-09-15€2MFC Sochi
2021-12-29€3MFC Sochi
2022-06-02€3.2MFC Sochi
2022-11-21€2.8MFC Rostov
2023-06-14€3MFC Rostov
2023-12-13€2MFC Rostov
2024-06-04€1.5MFC Orenburg
2024-09-18€1.8MFC Orenburg
2024-12-12€1.5MFC Orenburg
2025-06-04€1.5MFC Orenburg
2025-12-16€1.2MFC Rostov
2026-05-26€1MFC Rostov

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.027

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 44% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Prokhin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).