FairValue

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Cherif

Ndiaye

CFSenegal · Samsunspor

№ 480705Established €2.4M +0.75

Player dossierSüper Lig

CherifNdiaye

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Samsunspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Senegal
Age
30
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ndiaye at €5M. Model A, which never saw Ndiaye during training, estimates €2.4M: the market value is 113% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.13. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.75A €2.4M▲ +0.50B €3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
38
Minutes
2,446
Goals
11
Assists
6
Started
28/38
Min / app
64
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ndiaye…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €2.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Cherif Ndiaye's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 77th, Assists per 90 76th, Minutes, two years 55th, Starts 74th, Minutes, last 365 days 66th, European club minutes 98th77thGoals76thAssists55thMinutes74thStarts66thRecent98thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

42% this player0% attacker median98th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jan 2017
Peak
€6M
Oct 2025
Model target
€5M
May 2026
Valuations
29
7 club changes
May 2026€5MSamsunsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €5M, Samsunspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-01-21€100kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2017-06-06€100kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2018-01-09€100kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2018-06-03€150kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2018-12-27€150kWithout Club
2019-03-11€150kHNK Gorica
2019-09-16€1.4MHNK Gorica
2019-12-27€1.8MHNK Gorica
2020-04-08€1.4MHNK Gorica
2020-07-27€1.5MHNK Gorica
2020-10-12€1.2MGöztepe
2020-12-23€1.5MGöztepe
2021-03-16€2MGöztepe
2021-05-21€2MGöztepe
2021-10-12€2.2MGöztepe
2022-01-04€2.2MGöztepe
2022-03-31€2.2MGöztepe
2022-05-28€1.8MShanghai Port
2023-01-13€1.5MShanghai Port
2023-03-14€1.5MAdana Demirspor
2023-06-08€2.2MAdana Demirspor
2023-09-25€3.5MRed Star Belgrade
2023-12-27€3MRed Star Belgrade
2024-06-10€3.5MRed Star Belgrade
2024-12-27€4MRed Star Belgrade
2025-06-12€5MRed Star Belgrade
2025-10-01€6MSamsunspor
2025-12-17€5MSamsunspor
2026-05-21€5MSamsunspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.754

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 81% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 64% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ndiaye appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).