Keanu
Baccus
DMAustralia · St. Mirren FC
Player dossierPremiership
KeanuBaccus
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- St. Mirren FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Australia
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 178 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Baccus at €700k. Model A, which never saw Baccus during training, estimates €271k: the market value is 158% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.58. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €654k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 17
- Minutes
- 1,320
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 14/17
- Min / app
- 78
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Baccus…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
82% this player69% midfielder median74th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jul 2017
- Peak
- €900k
- May 2024
- Model target
- €700k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 16
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €700k, St. Mirren FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-07-30 | €50k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2018-07-24 | €100k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2019-03-02 | €250k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2019-09-11 | €300k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2020-10-08 | €350k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2021-03-30 | €500k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2021-10-01 | €500k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2022-05-06 | €600k | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2022-11-14 | €650k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2023-06-26 | €650k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2023-12-05 | €850k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2024-05-30 | €900k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2024-12-27 | €900k | Mansfield Town |
| 2025-06-18 | €700k | Mansfield Town |
| 2025-12-10 | €700k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €700k | St. Mirren FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.949
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 68% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Baccus appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- FindlayCBHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€700k
- PasslackRBHibernian FC · Premiership€700k
- SlatteryCMMotherwell FC · Premiership€700k
- GrahamCBDundee United FC · Premiership€700k
- RomeuDMSouthampton FC · midfielders€700k
- CoquelinDMFC Nantes · midfielders€700k
- MendyDMWatford FC · midfielders€700k
- PereyraCMAEK Athens · midfielders€700k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).