FairValue

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Rıdvan

Yılmaz

LBTürkiye · Besiktas JK

№ 477930Established €5.6M −0.11

Player dossierSüper Lig

RıdvanYılmaz

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Besiktas JK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
25
Height
174 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Yılmaz at €5M. Model A, which never saw Yılmaz during training, estimates €5.6M: the market value is 10% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.11A €5.6M▼ −0.08B €5.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
54
Minutes
3,929
Goals
0
Assists
3
Started
42/54
Min / app
73
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Yılmaz…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €5.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Rıdvan Yılmaz's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 67th, Minutes, two years 68th, Starts 40th, Minutes, last 365 days 65th, European club minutes 78th18thGoals67thAssists68thMinutes40thStarts65thRecent78thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

15% this player0% defender median78th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Nov 2018
Peak
€6.5M
Jun 2022
Model target
€5M
May 2026
Valuations
22
3 club changes
May 2026€5MBesiktas JKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €5M, Besiktas JK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-11-27€50kBesiktas JK U19
2019-06-04€50kBesiktas JK
2020-08-04€400kBesiktas JK
2020-12-23€1MBesiktas JK
2021-03-16€1.9MBesiktas JK
2021-05-25€2MBesiktas JK
2021-10-12€3.8MBesiktas JK
2022-01-04€4.7MBesiktas JK
2022-03-31€5.5MBesiktas JK
2022-06-01€6.5MBesiktas JK
2022-12-13€6MRangers FC
2023-03-22€5MRangers FC
2023-06-26€4.5MRangers FC
2023-12-05€4.5MRangers FC
2024-03-20€5MRangers FC
2024-05-30€5MRangers FC
2024-12-03€4.5MRangers FC
2025-03-12€4MRangers FC
2025-06-17€3.5MRangers FC
2025-12-17€3.5MBesiktas JK
2026-03-05€4MBesiktas JK
2026-05-21€5MBesiktas JK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.110

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 81% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 70% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Yılmaz appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).