FairValue

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Bryan

Reynolds

RBUnited States · KVC Westerlo

№ 475208Established €4.7M −0.30

Player dossierPro League

BryanReynolds

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
KVC Westerlo
League
Pro League
Nationality
United States
Age
24
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Reynolds at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Reynolds during training, estimates €4.7M: the market value is 26% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.30A €4.7M▼ −0.60B €6.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
66
Minutes
5,863
Goals
3
Assists
8
Started
66/66
Min / app
89
Cards
16Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Reynolds…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €4.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Bryan Reynolds's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 61st, Assists per 90 83rd, Minutes, two years 92nd, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 30th61stGoals83rdAssists92ndMinutes97thStarts96thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player83% defender median97th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
May 2018
Peak
€6M
Dec 2020
Model target
€3.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
5 club changes
Jun 2026€3.5MKVC WesterloValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3.5M, KVC Westerlo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-05-02€50kFC Dallas
2018-12-15€50kFC Dallas
2019-05-27€100kNorth Texas SC
2019-10-25€250kNorth Texas SC
2020-08-26€250kFC Dallas
2020-11-13€2MFC Dallas
2020-12-18€6MFC Dallas
2021-06-03€6MAS Roma
2021-10-14€5MAS Roma
2021-12-28€4MAS Roma
2022-04-12€3.5MKV Kortrijk
2022-09-07€2.5MKVC Westerlo
2022-11-04€2.5MKVC Westerlo
2023-06-09€4MKVC Westerlo
2023-12-19€3.5MKVC Westerlo
2024-06-04€3MKVC Westerlo
2024-12-11€3.5MKVC Westerlo
2025-06-12€3.5MKVC Westerlo
2025-12-10€3.5MKVC Westerlo
2026-06-04€3.5MKVC Westerlo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.296

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 73% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 63% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Reynolds appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).