
Jens
Cajuste
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
JensCajuste
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Ipswich Town
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Sweden
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Cajuste at €8M. Model A, which never saw Cajuste during training, estimates €19.4M: the market value is 59% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 53
- Minutes
- 3,193
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 39/53
- Min / app
- 60
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cajuste…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
3% this player0% midfielder median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Dec 2016
- Peak
- €12M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €8M
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 23
- 4 club changes
Dec 2025: €8M, Ipswich Town. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-12-15 | €50k | Örgryte IS |
| 2017-07-14 | €25k | Örgryte IS |
| 2017-11-20 | €50k | Örgryte IS |
| 2018-12-21 | €100k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2019-06-08 | €100k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2019-09-09 | €300k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2019-12-22 | €500k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2020-04-08 | €450k | FC Midtjylland |
| 2020-07-31 | €1M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2020-12-23 | €3M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2021-05-31 | €5M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2021-10-06 | €7M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2021-12-28 | €5M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2022-05-30 | €5M | Stade Reims |
| 2022-11-02 | €4.5M | Stade Reims |
| 2023-06-27 | €6M | Stade Reims |
| 2023-10-11 | €10M | SSC Napoli |
| 2023-12-20 | €10M | SSC Napoli |
| 2024-06-05 | €10M | SSC Napoli |
| 2024-12-16 | €12M | Ipswich Town |
| 2025-05-30 | €12M | Ipswich Town |
| 2025-10-06 | €10M | Ipswich Town |
| 2025-12-03 | €8M | Ipswich Town |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.884
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 27% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 74% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Cajuste appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- XhakaDMSunderland AFC · Premier League€8M
- MaguireCBManchester United · Premier League€8M
- ShawLBManchester United · Premier League€8M
- ChristieCMAFC Bournemouth · Premier League€8M
- BruyneAMSSC Napoli · midfielders€8M
- FofanaCMFC Porto · midfielders€8M
- KarazorDMVfB Stuttgart · midfielders€8M
- NdidiDMBesiktas JK · midfielders€8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).





