FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Theocharis

Tsingaras

CMGreece · Atromitos Athens

№ 464530Emerging €1.2M −0.31

Player dossierSuper League

TheocharisTsingaras

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Atromitos Athens
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
25
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tsingaras at €900k. Model A, which never saw Tsingaras during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 26% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.36. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.31A €1.2M▼ −0.51B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
54
Minutes
3,662
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
42/54
Min / app
68
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tsingaras…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Theocharis Tsingaras's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 33rd, Assists per 90 28th, Minutes, two years 68th, Starts 66th, Minutes, last 365 days 64th, European club minutes 59th33rdGoals28thAssists68thMinutes66thStarts64thRecent59thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,662 this player2,607 midfielder median68th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Sept 2019
Peak
€1.8M
Jun 2022
Model target
€900k
Jun 2026
Valuations
16
3 club changes
Jun 2026€900kAtromitos AthensValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €900k, Atromitos Athens. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-09-23€200kPAOK Thessaloniki
2019-12-18€200kPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-10-12€200kPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-02-12€500kPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-05-30€750kPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-11-01€750kPAOK Thessaloniki
2022-06-09€1.8MPAOK Thessaloniki
2022-11-02€1.8MFC Toulouse
2023-06-27€1.2MFC Toulouse
2023-12-20€1.2MPAOK Thessaloniki
2024-05-30€1.2MPAOK Thessaloniki
2024-09-26€1MAtromitos Athens
2024-12-18€1MAtromitos Athens
2025-05-23€1MAtromitos Athens
2025-12-12€900kAtromitos Athens
2026-06-04€900kAtromitos Athens

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.306

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 66% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 30% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Tsingaras appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).