FairValue

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Portrait of Khéphren Thuram

Khéphren

Thuram

CMFrance · Juventus FC

№ 463618World Class €34M +0.11

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

KhéphrenThuram

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Juventus FC
League
Serie A
Nationality
France
Age
25
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Thuram at €38M. Model A, which never saw Thuram during training, estimates €34M: the market value is 12% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €38.8M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.11A €34M▼ −0.02B €38.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
96
Minutes
6,468
Goals
9
Assists
13
Started
75/96
Min / app
67
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Thuram…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €38M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €38MModel A €34M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Khéphren Thuram's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 64th, Assists per 90 79th, Minutes, two years 97th, Starts 67th, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 85th64thGoals79thAssists97thMinutes67thStarts96thRecent85thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,468 this player2,607 midfielder median97th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Feb 2019
Peak
€40M
Jun 2023
Model target
€38M
May 2026
Valuations
24
2 club changes
May 2026€38MJuventus FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €38M, Juventus FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-02-15€500kAS Monaco
2019-06-03€500kAS Monaco
2019-09-27€1.5MOGC Nice
2019-12-19€3MOGC Nice
2020-03-13€4MOGC Nice
2020-04-08€3.6MOGC Nice
2020-10-15€5.5MOGC Nice
2021-04-09€9MOGC Nice
2021-06-04€9MOGC Nice
2021-12-16€10MOGC Nice
2022-03-23€14MOGC Nice
2022-05-30€17MOGC Nice
2022-09-19€25MOGC Nice
2022-11-02€25MOGC Nice
2023-03-27€32MOGC Nice
2023-06-27€40MOGC Nice
2023-12-18€40MOGC Nice
2024-03-19€35MOGC Nice
2024-06-03€35MOGC Nice
2024-12-18€35MJuventus FC
2025-03-25€40MJuventus FC
2025-06-17€40MJuventus FC
2025-12-23€40MJuventus FC
2026-05-29€38MJuventus FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.111

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 96% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€38MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 96% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€38MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Thuram appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).