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Cucho

Hernández

CFColombia · Real Betis Balompié

№ 459463Elite €20.5M −0.13

Player dossierLaLiga

CuchoHernández

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Real Betis Balompié
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Colombia
Age
27
Height
176 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Hernández at €18M. Model A, which never saw Hernández during training, estimates €20.5M: the market value is 12% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.14. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.13A €20.5M▲ +0.77B €8.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
55
Minutes
4,280
Goals
20
Assists
4
Started
50/55
Min / app
78
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hernández…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €18M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €18MModel A €20.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Cucho Hernández's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 79th, Assists per 90 26th, Minutes, two years 84th, Starts 95th, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 71st79thGoals26thAssists84thMinutes95thStarts96thRecent71stEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,130 this player1,301 attacker median96th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Sept 2016
Peak
€18M
Dec 2024
Model target
€18M
Jun 2026
Valuations
24
7 club changes
Jun 2026€18MReal Betis BalompiéValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €18M, Real Betis Balompié. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-09-01€300kDeportivo Pereira
2017-01-31€450kCD América de Cali
2017-08-17€500kSD Huesca
2018-01-01€4MSD Huesca
2018-05-30€5MSD Huesca
2018-12-21€5MSD Huesca
2019-06-11€10MSD Huesca
2019-12-20€7.5MRCD Mallorca
2020-04-08€6.7MRCD Mallorca
2020-10-08€8MGetafe CF
2021-01-05€12MGetafe CF
2021-06-10€9MGetafe CF
2021-12-23€9MWatford FC
2022-06-15€9MWatford FC
2022-08-18€9MColumbus Crew
2022-11-08€10MColumbus Crew
2023-08-22€10MColumbus Crew
2023-12-18€13MColumbus Crew
2024-06-13€13MColumbus Crew
2024-09-26€15MColumbus Crew
2024-12-12€18MColumbus Crew
2025-06-09€18MReal Betis Balompié
2025-12-12€18MReal Betis Balompié
2026-06-05€18MReal Betis Balompié

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.128

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 84% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 85% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Hernández appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).