FairValue

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Eder

González

DMSpain · Asteras Aktor

№ 456523Emerging €517k +0.30

Player dossierSuper League

EderGonzález

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Asteras Aktor
League
Super League
Nationality
Spain
Age
29
Height
170 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values González at €700k. Model A, which never saw González during training, estimates €517k: the market value is 35% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.35. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €745k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.30A €517k▼ −0.06B €745k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
43
Minutes
2,275
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
23/43
Min / app
53
Cards
4Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for González…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €517k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Eder González's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 29th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 43rd, Starts 26th, Minutes, last 365 days 33rd, European club minutes 30th29thGoals8thAssists43rdMinutes26thStarts33rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

2,275 this player2,607 midfielder median43rd percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2016
Peak
€800k
Mar 2024
Model target
€700k
Jun 2026
Valuations
23
5 club changes
Jun 2026€700kAsteras AktorValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €700k, Asteras Aktor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-09-04€100kUE Cornellà
2017-02-02€100kTerrassa FC
2017-06-05€100kTerrassa FC
2018-12-27€75kFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
2019-06-25€50kFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
2019-12-21€250kFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
2020-08-05€200kFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
2020-12-22€200kFK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
2021-06-03€300kSepsi OSK Sf. Gheorghe
2021-09-30€400kSepsi OSK Sf. Gheorghe
2021-12-22€500kSepsi OSK Sf. Gheorghe
2022-03-29€600kSepsi OSK Sf. Gheorghe
2022-06-03€650kSepsi OSK Sf. Gheorghe
2022-11-07€700kAtromitos Athens
2023-05-22€700kAtromitos Athens
2023-12-20€700kAtromitos Athens
2024-03-06€800kAtromitos Athens
2024-05-30€800kAtromitos Athens
2024-12-18€800kAtromitos Athens
2025-05-23€800kAsteras Aktor
2025-12-12€800kAsteras Aktor
2026-03-06€700kAsteras Aktor
2026-06-04€700kAsteras Aktor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.304

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 55% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where González appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).