FairValue

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Moisés

Ramírez

GKEcuador · AE Kifisia

№ 450233Emerging €512k +0.45

Player dossierSuper League

MoisésRamírez

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
AE Kifisia
League
Super League
Nationality
Ecuador
Age
25
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ramírez at €800k. Model A, which never saw Ramírez during training, estimates €512k: the market value is 56% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.56. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €763k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.45A €512k▲ +0.05B €763k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
22
Minutes
1,980
Started
22/22
Min / app
90
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ramírez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €512k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Moisés Ramírez's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 38th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 58th, European club minutes 32nd38thMinutes62ndStarts58thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2018
Peak
€1.5M
Dec 2023
Model target
€800k
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
3 club changes
Jun 2026€800kAE KifisiaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €800k, AE Kifisia. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-07-20€50kIndependiente del Valle
2018-12-30€200kIndependiente del Valle
2019-02-19€200kReal Sociedad B
2019-06-29€200kReal Sociedad B
2019-09-10€200kReal Sociedad B
2019-12-31€300kIndependiente del Valle
2020-10-14€300kIndependiente del Valle
2020-12-30€300kIndependiente del Valle
2021-06-30€600kIndependiente del Valle
2021-12-30€800kIndependiente del Valle
2022-06-20€800kIndependiente del Valle
2022-11-15€1MIndependiente del Valle
2023-07-14€1.2MIndependiente del Valle
2023-12-05€1.5MIndependiente del Valle
2024-06-06€1.5MIndependiente del Valle
2024-12-16€1.2MIndependiente del Valle
2025-04-09€1MIndependiente del Valle
2025-06-16€800kIndependiente del Valle
2025-12-12€800kAE Kifisia
2026-06-04€800kAE Kifisia

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.447

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 60% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 39% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ramírez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).