FairValue

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Egor

Golenkov

CFRussia · FC Rostov

№ 449722Emerging €2.9M −0.54

Player dossierPremier Liga

EgorGolenkov

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
FC Rostov
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
26
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Golenkov at €1.7M. Model A, which never saw Golenkov during training, estimates €2.9M: the market value is 42% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.71. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.54A €2.9M▼ −1.04B €4.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
72
Minutes
4,042
Goals
14
Assists
8
Started
44/72
Min / app
56
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Golenkov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.7MModel A €2.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Egor Golenkov's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 59th, Assists per 90 62nd, Minutes, two years 82nd, Starts 54th, Minutes, last 365 days 83rd, European club minutes 28th59thGoals62ndAssists82ndMinutes54thStarts83rdRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,338 this player1,301 attacker median83rd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2016
Peak
€2.8M
Dec 2024
Model target
€1.7M
May 2026
Valuations
25
3 club changes
May 2026€1.7MFC RostovValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.7M, FC Rostov. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-12-02€50kKrylya Sovetov Samara II
2017-06-01€50kKrylya Sovetov Samara II
2018-10-14€100kKrylya Sovetov Samara II
2018-12-20€225kKrylya Sovetov Samara II
2019-06-14€275kKrylya Sovetov Samara II
2019-09-10€300kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2019-12-23€350kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2020-04-08€325kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2020-07-29€300kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2020-10-19€400kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2020-12-29€500kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2021-05-24€600kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2021-12-26€350kSK Sigma Olomouc
2022-06-02€350kFC Rostov
2022-09-12€500kFC Rostov
2022-11-21€500kFC Rostov
2023-06-14€800kFC Rostov
2023-12-13€1MFC Rostov
2024-03-20€1.5MFC Rostov
2024-06-04€2MFC Rostov
2024-09-18€2.5MFC Rostov
2024-12-12€2.8MFC Rostov
2025-06-04€2.5MFC Rostov
2025-12-16€2MFC Rostov
2026-05-26€1.7MFC Rostov

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.537

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 64% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.7MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 42% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Golenkov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).