FairValue

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Isaac

Schmidt

LBSwitzerland · SV Werder Bremen

№ 449597Established €3.6M −0.49

Player dossierBundesliga

IsaacSchmidt

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
SV Werder Bremen
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Switzerland
Age
26
Height
172 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Schmidt at €2.2M. Model A, which never saw Schmidt during training, estimates €3.6M: the market value is 39% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.64. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.49A €3.6M▲ +0.10B €2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
26
Minutes
1,125
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
11/26
Min / app
43
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Schmidt…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.2MModel A €3.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Isaac Schmidt's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 96th, Assists per 90 71st, Minutes, two years 15th, Starts 4th, Minutes, last 365 days 18th, European club minutes 89th96thGoals71stAssists15thMinutes4thStarts18thRecent89thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.16 this player0.03 defender median96th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€175k
Jun 2019
Peak
€2.2M
Sept 2024
Model target
€2.2M
May 2026
Valuations
19
4 club changes
May 2026€2.2MSV Werder BremenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.2M, SV Werder Bremen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-06-18€175kTeam Vaud U21
2020-01-06€175kFC Lausanne-Sport
2020-07-31€225kFC Lausanne-Sport
2020-12-28€200kFC Lausanne-Sport
2021-06-23€200kFC Lausanne-Sport
2022-01-03€200kFC St. Gallen 1879
2022-03-28€400kFC St. Gallen 1879
2022-06-08€1.2MFC St. Gallen 1879
2022-11-10€1MFC St. Gallen 1879
2023-03-28€1.5MFC St. Gallen 1879
2023-06-07€1.8MFC St. Gallen 1879
2023-10-19€1.4MFC St. Gallen 1879
2023-12-21€1.4MFC St. Gallen 1879
2024-05-31€1.4MFC St. Gallen 1879
2024-09-24€2.2MLeeds United
2024-12-30€2.2MLeeds United
2025-05-27€2.2MLeeds United
2025-12-19€2.2MSV Werder Bremen
2026-05-27€2.2MSV Werder Bremen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.492

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 25% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€2.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 54% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Schmidt appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).