Ethan
Pinnock
CBJamaica · Brentford FC
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
EthanPinnock
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Brentford FC
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Jamaica
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 194 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Pinnock at €3M. Model A, which never saw Pinnock during training, estimates €2M: the market value is 50% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.50. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €437k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 30
- Minutes
- 2,564
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 29/30
- Min / app
- 85
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pinnock…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
97% this player83% defender median89th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €350k
- Sept 2017
- Peak
- €15M
- Dec 2023
- Model target
- €3M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 19
- 1 club change
Jun 2026: €3M, Brentford FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-09-18 | €350k | Barnsley FC |
| 2018-02-27 | €500k | Barnsley FC |
| 2019-10-17 | €2M | Brentford FC |
| 2020-02-27 | €3M | Brentford FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €2.4M | Brentford FC |
| 2020-10-15 | €3.5M | Brentford FC |
| 2021-03-10 | €5M | Brentford FC |
| 2021-06-30 | €7M | Brentford FC |
| 2021-12-23 | €10M | Brentford FC |
| 2022-06-15 | €12M | Brentford FC |
| 2022-11-03 | €12M | Brentford FC |
| 2023-06-20 | €14M | Brentford FC |
| 2023-12-19 | €15M | Brentford FC |
| 2024-05-27 | €12M | Brentford FC |
| 2024-10-01 | €10M | Brentford FC |
| 2024-12-16 | €8M | Brentford FC |
| 2025-05-30 | €7M | Brentford FC |
| 2025-12-09 | €4M | Brentford FC |
| 2026-06-03 | €3M | Brentford FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.407
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 12% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Pinnock appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- WelbeckCFBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League€3M
- KeaneCBEverton FC · Premier League€3M
- DaviesCBTottenham Hotspur · Premier League€3M
- JiménezCFFulham FC · Premier League€3M
- AlabaCBReal Madrid · defenders€3M
- VrijCBInter Milan · defenders€3M
- WeiserRBSV Werder Bremen · defenders€3M
- CanCBBorussia Dortmund · defenders€3M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).