FairValue

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Antoine

Colassin

CFBelgium · Royal Charleroi SC

№ 440953Emerging €1.1M −0.61

Player dossierPro League

AntoineColassin

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Royal Charleroi SC
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
25
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Colassin at €600k. Model A, which never saw Colassin during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 45% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.83. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.61A €1.1M▼ −1.54B €2.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
50
Minutes
1,858
Goals
4
Assists
7
Started
20/50
Min / app
37
Cards
6Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Colassin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Antoine Colassin's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 34th, Assists per 90 94th, Minutes, two years 41st, Starts 21st, Minutes, last 365 days 21st, European club minutes 59th34thGoals94thAssists41stMinutes21stStarts21stRecent59thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.34 this player0.15 attacker median94th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1.5M
Jan 2020
Peak
€2.5M
Mar 2020
Model target
€600k
Jun 2026
Valuations
18
7 club changes
Jun 2026€600kRoyal Charleroi SCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €600k, Royal Charleroi SC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-01-20€1.5MRSC Anderlecht U21
2020-03-30€2.5MRSC Anderlecht U21
2020-04-08€2.3MRSC Anderlecht U21
2020-10-16€2MRSC Anderlecht
2021-03-15€1.6MZulte Waregem
2021-06-07€1.3MZulte Waregem
2021-10-06€800kRSC Anderlecht
2022-01-06€650kRSC Anderlecht
2022-04-12€450kRSC Anderlecht
2022-11-11€450kSC Heerenveen
2023-06-23€650kSC Heerenveen
2023-12-28€500kRSCA Futures
2024-06-20€400kRSCA Futures
2024-10-02€600kBeerschot VA
2024-12-11€600kBeerschot VA
2025-06-12€750kBeerschot VA
2025-12-10€600kRoyal Charleroi SC
2026-06-04€600kRoyal Charleroi SC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.606

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 13% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Colassin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).