FairValue

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Kornelius

Normann

LWNorway · Aalborg BK

№ 432698Emerging €713k −0.17

Player dossierSuperliga

KorneliusNormann

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Aalborg BK
League
Superliga
Nationality
Norway
Age
24
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Normann at €600k. Model A, which never saw Normann during training, estimates €713k: the market value is 16% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.17A €713k▼ −1.05B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
51
Minutes
2,840
Goals
7
Assists
3
Started
33/51
Min / app
56
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Normann…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €713k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Kornelius Normann's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 42nd, Assists per 90 30th, Minutes, two years 64th, Starts 60th, Minutes, last 365 days 38th, European club minutes 28th42ndGoals30thAssists64thMinutes60thStarts38thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

2,840 this player2,242 attacker median64th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jul 2020
Peak
€600k
May 2024
Model target
€600k
Dec 2025
Valuations
10
2 club changes
Dec 2025€600kAalborg BKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €600k, Aalborg BK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-07-25€300kStabæk Fotball
2020-12-31€400kStabæk Fotball
2022-01-03€400kStabæk Fotball
2022-12-09€450kStabæk Fotball
2023-07-04€400kAlmere City FC
2023-12-15€550kAlmere City FC
2024-05-31€600kAlmere City FC
2024-12-17€550kAlmere City FC
2025-05-28€500kAlmere City FC
2025-12-18€600kAalborg BK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.172

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 34% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Normann appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).