Morgan
Gibbs-White
AMEngland · Nottingham Forest
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
MorganGibbs-White
AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Nottingham Forest
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 171 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Gibbs-White at €70M. Model A, which never saw Gibbs-White during training, estimates €57.3M: the market value is 22% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €48.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 91
- Minutes
- 7,294
- Goals
- 25
- Assists
- 17
- Started
- 81/91
- Min / app
- 80
- Cards
- 17Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gibbs-White…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €70M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Minutes, last 365 days
Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.
4,152 this player1,541 midfielder median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1M
- Aug 2018
- Peak
- €70M
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €70M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 24
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €70M, Nottingham Forest. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-08-13 | €1M | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2018-12-19 | €3M | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2019-03-05 | €5M | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2019-06-13 | €8M | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2019-12-10 | €8M | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2020-04-08 | €7.2M | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2020-10-15 | €6M | Swansea City |
| 2021-03-18 | €6M | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2021-06-08 | €7M | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2021-11-24 | €9M | Sheffield United |
| 2022-05-13 | €11M | Sheffield United |
| 2022-09-15 | €25M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2022-11-03 | €25M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2023-03-16 | €30M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2023-06-20 | €40M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2023-12-19 | €40M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2024-05-27 | €40M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2024-12-16 | €40M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2025-03-18 | €50M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2025-05-30 | €50M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2025-10-17 | €65M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2025-12-09 | €65M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026-03-09 | €60M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026-06-03 | €70M | Nottingham Forest |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.201
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 94% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 98% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Gibbs-White appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GuéhiCBManchester City · Premier League€70M
- FodenAMManchester City · Premier League€70M
- TimberRBArsenal FC · Premier League€70M
- GvardiolCBManchester City · Premier League€70M
- TchouaméniDMReal Madrid · midfielders€70M
- GuimarãesCMNewcastle United · midfielders€70M
- AllisterCMLiverpool FC · midfielders€70M
- WhartonDMCrystal Palace · midfielders€70M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).