FairValue

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Portrait of Alexis Mac Allister

Alexis Mac

Allister

CMArgentina · Liverpool FC

№ 534033World Class €56.1M +0.22

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

Alexis MacAllister

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Liverpool FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
Argentina
Age
27
Height
176 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Allister at €70M. Model A, which never saw Allister during training, estimates €56.1M: the market value is 25% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €58.7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.22A €56.1M▲ +0.18B €58.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
98
Minutes
7,170
Goals
12
Assists
12
Started
81/98
Min / app
73
Cards
21Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Allister…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €70M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €70MModel A €56.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Alexis Mac Allister's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 72nd, Assists per 90 71st, Minutes, two years 98th, Starts 75th, Minutes, last 365 days 98th, European club minutes 86th72ndGoals71stAssists98thMinutes75thStarts98thRecent86thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,885 this player1,541 midfielder median98th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Oct 2017
Peak
€100M
May 2025
Model target
€70M
Jun 2026
Valuations
24
3 club changes
Jun 2026€70MLiverpool FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €70M, Liverpool FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-10-09€300kAA Argentinos Juniors
2018-05-08€4MAA Argentinos Juniors
2018-12-18€5MAA Argentinos Juniors
2019-08-06€10MCA Boca Juniors
2019-12-05€12.5MCA Boca Juniors
2020-04-08€11MBrighton & Hove Albion
2020-10-13€11MBrighton & Hove Albion
2021-03-18€10MBrighton & Hove Albion
2021-06-08€10MBrighton & Hove Albion
2021-12-23€10MBrighton & Hove Albion
2022-06-15€16MBrighton & Hove Albion
2022-09-15€25MBrighton & Hove Albion
2022-11-03€32MBrighton & Hove Albion
2022-12-23€42MBrighton & Hove Albion
2023-06-20€65MBrighton & Hove Albion
2023-12-19€65MLiverpool FC
2024-03-14€70MLiverpool FC
2024-05-27€75MLiverpool FC
2024-12-16€80MLiverpool FC
2025-03-18€90MLiverpool FC
2025-05-30€100MLiverpool FC
2025-12-09€85MLiverpool FC
2026-03-09€80MLiverpool FC
2026-06-03€70MLiverpool FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.222

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 94% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€70MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 98% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€70MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Allister appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).