FairValue

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Bogdan

Kushnirenko

DMUkraine · Zorya Lugansk

№ 428603Emerging €648k −0.26

Player dossierPremier Liha

BogdanKushnirenko

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Zorya Lugansk
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
30
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kushnirenko at €500k. Model A, which never saw Kushnirenko during training, estimates €648k: the market value is 23% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.26A €648k▼ −1.53B €2.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
2,812
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
33/39
Min / app
72
Cards
11Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kushnirenko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €648k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Bogdan Kushnirenko's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 40th, Assists per 90 21st, Minutes, two years 54th, Starts 78th, Minutes, last 365 days 58th, European club minutes 62nd40thGoals21stAssists54thMinutes78thStarts58thRecent62ndEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

85% this player69% midfielder median78th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Feb 2017
Peak
€700k
Jun 2024
Model target
€500k
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
5 club changes
Jun 2026€500kZorya LuganskValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €500k, Zorya Lugansk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-02-09€75kFC Poltava
2018-01-04€125kFC Poltava
2018-05-27€100kFC Poltava
2018-12-02€75kMFC Mykolaiv
2019-06-16€100kMFC Mykolaiv
2019-12-18€125kMFC Mykolaiv
2020-08-18€150kMFC Mykolaiv
2020-10-05€150kMFC Mykolaiv
2020-12-05€200kMFC Mykolaiv
2021-06-17€300kMFC Mykolaiv
2021-12-20€200kVorskla Poltava
2022-05-18€200kPolissya Zhytomyr
2022-12-06€300kPolissya Zhytomyr
2023-06-21€500kPolissya Zhytomyr
2023-12-11€600kPolissya Zhytomyr
2024-06-06€700kPolissya Zhytomyr
2024-12-17€500kPolissya Zhytomyr
2025-06-10€400kLNZ Cherkasy
2025-12-18€400kZorya Lugansk
2026-06-02€500kZorya Lugansk

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.260

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 52% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 16% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kushnirenko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).