FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Rustam

Yatimov

GKTajikistan · FC Rostov

№ 424022Established €1.9M +0.05

Player dossierPremier Liga

RustamYatimov

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
FC Rostov
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Tajikistan
Age
27
Height
194 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Yatimov at €2M. Model A, which never saw Yatimov during training, estimates €1.9M: the market value is 6% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.05A €1.9M▼ −0.35B €2.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
58
Minutes
5,147
Started
57/58
Min / app
89
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Yatimov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €1.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Rustam Yatimov's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 78th, Starts 21st, Minutes, last 365 days 73rd, European club minutes 32nd78thMinutes21stStarts73rdRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,147 this player2,790 goalkeeper median78th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,210

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2016
Peak
€2M
May 2026
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
16
2 club changes
May 2026€2MFC RostovValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, FC Rostov. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-07-01€50kVolga Nizhniy Novgorod (- 2016)
2019-12-30€150kIstiqlol Dushanbe
2020-07-15€250kIstiqlol Dushanbe
2020-10-28€300kIstiqlol Dushanbe
2021-07-08€350kIstiqlol Dushanbe
2021-12-14€350kIstiqlol Dushanbe
2022-05-26€400kIstiqlol Dushanbe
2022-12-23€500kIstiqlol Dushanbe
2023-08-03€750kIstiqlol Dushanbe
2023-12-22€900kIstiqlol Dushanbe
2024-02-21€1.2MIstiqlol Dushanbe
2024-06-28€1.2MIstiqlol Dushanbe
2024-12-12€1.5MFC Rostov
2025-06-04€1.5MFC Rostov
2025-12-16€1.8MFC Rostov
2026-05-26€2MFC Rostov

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.054

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 65% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 59% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Yatimov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).