FairValue

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Nicolas

Raskin

DMBelgium · Rangers FC

№ 422763Elite €14.5M −0.19

Player dossierPremiership

NicolasRaskin

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Rangers FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
Belgium
Age
25
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
20 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Raskin at €12M. Model A, which never saw Raskin during training, estimates €14.5M: the market value is 17% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €28.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.19A €14.5M▼ −0.88B €28.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
88
Minutes
7,156
Goals
7
Assists
16
Started
77/88
Min / app
81
Cards
20Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Raskin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €12MModel A €14.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Nicolas Raskin's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 84th, Minutes, two years 98th, Starts 83rd, Minutes, last 365 days 98th, European club minutes 95th52ndGoals84thAssists98thMinutes83rdStarts98thRecent95thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,862 this player1,541 midfielder median98th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2017
Peak
€12M
Oct 2025
Model target
€12M
May 2026
Valuations
22
3 club changes
May 2026€12MRangers FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €12M, Rangers FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-07-25€150kKAA Gent U21
2018-01-09€150kKAA Gent U21
2018-03-30€400kKAA Gent U21
2018-06-03€500kKAA Gent U21
2018-12-27€500kKAA Gent U21
2019-06-10€300kStandard de Liège U21
2019-12-13€350kStandard Liège
2020-04-08€325kStandard Liège
2020-10-16€6MStandard Liège
2021-06-07€6MStandard Liège
2022-01-06€5MStandard Liège
2022-04-12€5MStandard Liège
2022-11-04€7MStandard Liège
2023-06-26€7.5MRangers FC
2023-12-05€8MRangers FC
2024-03-20€7.5MRangers FC
2024-05-30€6.5MRangers FC
2024-12-03€6.5MRangers FC
2025-06-17€10MRangers FC
2025-10-08€12MRangers FC
2025-12-10€12MRangers FC
2026-05-20€12MRangers FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.189

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

7th highest observed value among 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 81% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Raskin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).